The presidential nominations for both Democratic contender Joe Biden and Republican incumbent Donald Trump have been secured, but the focus is now shifting to the upcoming primary day on Tuesday, where many down-ballot races will be closely watched. One significant contest is the Ohio Senate race, where Republicans are vying for the opportunity to challenge Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. The results on Tuesday will also influence the outcome of crucial House battleground races in Ohio, Illinois, and California, potentially impacting the balance of power in the House this fall.
One dynamic to watch is the test of Trump’s endorsement in Illinois’ 12th District, where incumbent GOP Rep. Mike Bost is facing a primary challenge from former state Sen. Darren Bailey. Trump’s backing of Bost, despite previously endorsing Bailey, has added intrigue to the race, as Bailey contends that Bost is not conservative enough. In Illinois’ 7th District, longtime Democrat Rep. Danny Davis is facing a primary rematch, with community organizer Kina Collins challenging him amidst opposition from a super PAC tied to AIPAC. These primary battles are crucial as they could shape the political landscape leading up to November’s elections.
In battleground matchups across Ohio and Illinois, the fight is on for control of pivotal House seats. Close races in these states, especially Ohio’s 9th District and 13th District, will determine which party gains the advantage in the House. The race for California’s 20th District, left vacant by former Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s resignation, is also a key battleground, with Republicans vying for the seat in a special election. This Tuesday will offer a critical preview of the challenges and opportunities facing candidates as they navigate a highly contested political landscape.